Rupee counts on support from central bank before Fed policy decision

admin admin | 04-30 16:30

The RBI will "in all likelihood" not want the rupee to slip below the all-time low of 83.5750, a trader at a different bank said.
The Indian rupee will open broadly unchanged on Tuesday amid likely dollar demand and expectations that the central bank will not allow the currency to hit a new all-time low.

Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open nearly flat to the U.S. dollar from 83.47 in the previous session.

The local currency reached a low of 83.50 on Monday amid possible outflows and dollar buying by importers.

"Yesterday's move was surprising and does lend a bit of upward bias (to USD/INR)," an FX trader said. "However, we have seen several times in recent past that momentum means little when you have Reserve Bank of India (RBI) around."

The RBI will "in all likelihood" not want the rupee to slip below the all-time low of 83.5750, a trader at a different bank said.

"For today, you keep one eye on yen and yuan and the other on RBI."

The Japanese yen was down to 156.80 in Asia following a highly volatile session on Monday. The currency hit a 34-year low of 160.245 on Monday, prompting a yen-buying intervention by Japanese authorities. The yuan had recovered alongside the yen.

Japanese authorities haven't confirmed that they had stepped into the currency market in support of the yen.

The choppy moves in the yen come before the Federal Reserve's policy decision on Wednesday. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to keep the policy rate unchanged amid high inflation and robust growth.

Expectations over the U.S. interest rate path have changed considerably. Investors are now pricing in only 35 basis points of rate cuts this year, compared to 150-175 bps of cuts at the beginning of the year.

"The upside inflation surprise over the last three months has delayed the first cut and narrowed the path for the Fed to cut at all this year," Goldman Sachs said in a note.

Disclaimer: The copyright of this article belongs to the original author. Reposting this article is solely for the purpose of information dissemination and does not constitute any investment advice. If there is any infringement, please contact us immediately. We will make corrections or deletions as necessary. Thank you.


ALSO READ

Ola Electric responds to ARAI notice, says prices of S1 X 2 kWh scooter unchanged

Ola Electric provided an invoice dated October 6, showing a INR 5,000 discount given to customers, a...

Hyundai Motor IPO’s off to a slow start

Around 35% of the total shares in the offering are reserved for retail investors, while QIBs and NII...

Under fire, Ola Electric taps EY India to get back on track

Close to a dozen executives from EY came on-board at Ola Electric a few weeks ago on deputation for ...

Tata Motors secures 5-star BNCAP safety ratings for Nexon, Curvv, and EV models in latest crash tests

Tata Curvv.EV BNCAP testTata Motors did it again! Tata Motors has once again secured 5 star rating i...

India needs to step up manufacturing to meet Viksit Bharat goal: Volvo Grp India MD

Volvo Group India Managing Director and President, Kamal Bali. The manufacturing sector is a weak li...

Dollar pullback to help Indian rupee, weak risk appetite to weigh

Investors are now nearly certain that the U.S. Federal Reserve will deliver a 25-basis-point rate cu...